Insurance -Concept of Insurance -Purpose and need of Insurance -Concepts of Risk, Peril and Hazard
TOPICS COVERED
- Concept of Insurance
- Purpose and need of
Insurance
- Concepts of Risk, Peril and
Hazard
1. CONCEPT OF INSURANCE
The business of insurance aims to protect the economic value of assets
or life of a person. Through a contract of insurance the insurer agrees to make
good any loss on the insured property or loss of life (as the case may be) that
may occur in course of time in consideration for a small premium to be paid by
the insured.
DIFFERENTIATION INSURANCE AND GUARANTEE
Insurance is a contract of indemnity whereby Insurer agrees to
indemnify, or pay, the insured for certain types of loss while in a contract of
guarantee, one party agrees to act on behalf of another should that second
party default. In plain terms, this means that if an individual fails to pay
her guaranteed debt or to perform some other duty or obligation, the guarantor
-- the party who has agreed to act on behalf of another -
- will step in to pay or perform the obligation.
There are two major differences between insurance and guarantees. One
difference is that insurance is a direct agreement between the insurance
provider and the policyholder, while a guarantee involves an indirect agreement
between a beneficiary and a third party, along with the primary agreement
between the principal and beneficiary. A second difference is that insurance
policy calculations are based on underwriting and possible loss, while a
guarantee is focused strictly on performance or nonperformance. In addition,
insurance providers or policyholders can cancel policies with notice, while
guarantees often cannot be canceled. The difference between a contract of
Insurance and a contract of guarantee are as given below:
INSURANCE GUARANTEE
- In a contract of insurance,
there are two parties i.e. insurer and insured
- In a contract of Guarantee
there are three parties i.e. Main Debtor, Creditor & Surety.
- Insurance contract is
generally Cancellable. Contract of Guarantee is Non-Cancellable
- Insurance premium is based
on the probability and quantum of losses
- In contract of business,
loss cannot be estimated generally so fee is charged for the guarantee
service rendered An insurance contract transfers the Risk There is No
Transfer of Risk in a contract of guarantee
INSURANCE AND WAGER
A contract of Insurance, i.e. life, accident, fire, marine, etc. is not
a wager though it is performable upon an uncertain event. It is so because; the
principle of insurable interest distinguishes insurance from a wagering
contract. Insurable interest is the interest which one has in the safety or
preservation of the subject matter of insurance. Where insurable interest is
not present in insurance contracts, it becomes a wagering contract and is
therefore void.
The following are the points of distinction between wagering agreements
and insurance contracts.
- The parties have no
insurable interest iii a wagering agreement. But the holder of an
insurance policy must have an insurable interest.
- In wagering agreement,
neither party has any interest in happening or non-happening of an event.
But in a contract of insurance, both parties are interested in the
subject-matter.
- Contracts of insurance are
contracts of indemnity except life insurance contract, which is a
contingent contract. But a wagering agreement is a conditional contract.
- Contract of insurance are
based on scientific and actuarial calculation of risks, where as wagering
agreements are a gamble without any scientific calculation of risk.
- Contracts of insurance are
regarded as beneficial to the public and hence encouraged by the State but
wagering agreements serve no useful purpose.
- A contract of insurance is a
valid contract where as a wagering agreement is void being expressly
declared by law.
DISCLOSURES
The principle of Uberrimae fidei applies to all types of insurance
contracts and is a very basic and primary principle of insurance. According to
this principle, the insurance contract must be signed by both parties (i.e
insurer and insured) in absolute good faith or belief or trust.
The person getting insured must willingly disclose and surrender to the
insurer all relevant complete true information regarding the subject matter of
insurance. The insurer's liability is voidable (i.e legally revoked or cancelled)
if any facts, about the subject matter of insurance are either omitted, hidden,
falsified or presented in a wrong manner by the insured.
The principle forbids either party to an insurance contract, by
non-disclosure or mis-representation of a material fact, which he knows or
ought to know, to draw the other into the bargain, from his ignorance of that
fact and his believing the contrary. The duty of the utmost good faith is
implied in insurance contracts because they are entered into by parties who have
not the same access to relevant information. In this, they differ from
contracts of sale to which the maxim caveat emptor (let the buyer beware)
applies.
Although the duty rests upon both parties, it is the duty of the
proposer which needs to be discussed in some detail for he usually has the
advantage of knowing most of the particulars relating to the subject-matter.
Until a definite offer to enter into an insurance contract has been
unconditionally accepted the duty of the utmost good faith must be strictly
observed. The obligation arises again prior to each renewal and, to a limited
extent, when the insured desires an alteration in the policy. In the latter
case, he must inform the insurer of any facts material to the alteration.
MATERIAL FACTS
Material fact is every circumstance or information, which would
influence the judgment of a prudent insurer in assessing the risk.
Or
Those circumstances which influence the insurer’s decision to accept or
refuse the risk or which affect the fixing of the premium or the terms and
conditions of the contract, must be disclosed.
A material fact is one which would have influenced the judgment of a
prudent insurer in deciding whether he would accept the risk in whole or in
part and, if so, at what amount of premium. The materiality of a fact depends
upon the application of this test to the particular circumstances of the case
as at the date that the fact should have been communicated.
Material facts may have a bearing on the physical hazard or on the moral
hazard, or they may show that if a loss occurs the insurer's liability is
likely to be greater than would normally be expected.
FACTS, WHICH MUST BE DISCLOSED
- Facts, which show that a
risk represents a greater exposure than would be expected from its nature
e.g., the fact that a part of the building is being used for storage of
inflammable materials.
- External factors that make
the risk greater than normal e.g. the building is located next to a
warehouse storing explosive material.
- Facts, which would make the
amount of loss greater than that normally expected e.g. there is no
segregation of hazardous goods from non-hazardous goods in the storage
facility.
- History of Insurance (a)
Details of previous losses and claims (b) if any other Insurance Company
has earlier declined to insure the property and the special condition
imposed by the other insurers; if any.
- The existence of other
insurances.
- Full facts relating to the
description of the subject matter of Insurance
EXAMPLES OF MATERIAL FACTS
- In Fire Insurance: The
construction of the building, the nature of its use i.e. whether it is of
concrete or Kucha - having thatched roofing and whether it is being used
for residential purposes or as a godown, whether firefighting equipment is
available or not.
- In Motor Insurance: The type
of vehicle, the purpose of its use, its age (Model), Cubic capacity and
the fact that the driver has a consistently bad driving record.
- In Marine Insurance: Type of
packing, mode of carriage, name of carrier, nature of goods, the route.
- In Personal Accident
Insurance: Age, height, weight, occupation, previous medical history and
occupation especially if it is likely to increase the chance of an
accident. Proclivity of substance abuse has to be disclosed as well- eg.
alcohol or drug addiction.
- Burglary Insurance: Nature
of stock, value of stock, type of security precautions taken.
The above are just indicatory of the type of material facts that must be
disclosed. Details of previous losses are a material fact that has to be
disclosed in all cases.
FACTS, WHICH NEED NOT BE DISCLOSED
- Facts of Law: Ignorance of
law is not excusable - everyone is deemed to know the law. Overloading of
goods carrying vehicles is legally banned. The transporter cannot take
shelter behind the excuse that he was not aware of this provision; in the
event of an accident.
- Facts which lessen or
diminishes the Risk: The existence of a good fire fighting system in the
building.
- Facts of Common Knowledge:
The insurer is expected to know the areas of strife and areas susceptible
to riots and of the process followed in a particular trade or Industry.
Any fact which is known or which, by law, may be presumed to be known to
the insurer the insurer is presumed to know matters of common notoriety or
knowledge, and matters which an insurer, in the ordinary course of his
business, ought to know.
- Facts which could be
reasonably discovered: For e.g.the previous history of claims which the Insurer
is supposed to have in his record.
- Facts which the insurer’s
representative fails to notice: In burglary and fire Insurance it is often
the practice of Insurance companies to depute surveyors to inspect the
premises and in case the surveyor fails to notice hazardous features and
provided the details are not withheld by the Insured or concealed by him
them the Insured cannot be Unless inquiry is made, it is not necessary to
disclose the following facts. Any fact which it is superfluous to disclose
by reason of an express or implied condition.
- Any fact as to which
information is waived by the insurer.
- Any fact as to which insurer
is given sufficient information to put him on inquiry.
EFFECT OF NON-DISCLOSURE
Where there has been non-disclosure, whether innocent or fraudulent,
sometimes called concealment the contract is voidable at the option of the
insurer. This is the position where the matter is not dealt with by a policy
condition. The ground is usually covered by a policy condition which may do no more
than state the common law rule.
REPRESENTATIONS
Representations are statements made during the negotiations with the
object of inducing the other party to enter into the contract: they must be
distinguished from statements which are introduced into the contract, and upon
the truth of which the validity of the contract is made to depend.
Representations may be as to a matter of fact, and, if material must be
substantially correct. Where there has been misrepresentation it is necessary
to decide whether it was fraudulent or innocent. A fraudulent misrepresentation
is one which was known to be false ; or which was made without belief in its
truth, or recklessly, careless whether it was true or false. Fraudulent
misrepresentation of a material fact entitles the insurer to avoid the policy.
Every material fact which the insured ought to know in the ordinary
course of business must be stated; an innocent misrepresentation of such a fact
would entitle the insurer to avoid the policy. This must be so, otherwise the
duty to disclose material facts and to state them accurately would not be
correlative.
ACTIVE AND PASSIVE DUTY OF DISCLOSURE
The question here is what method is used to acquire the material
information.
Two different approaches are used in this respect. The first - an
“active” duty of disclosure, and the second approach is characterized as a
“passive” duty of disclosure. The former argues that the duty to assess what
information is material for the insurer rests with the person effecting the
insurance. On the other hand, a passive duty of disclosure implies that the
insurer will have to define what information is material through a
questionnaire. A passive duty of disclosure implies that information not asked
for is not material.
The common law systems seem mainly to apply an active duty of
disclosure, but elements of a passive duty of disclosure is found in some
countries in the form of proposals.
MORAL HAZARDS
Moral hazard is a situation in which one agent decides on how much risk
to take, while another agent bears (parts of) the negative consequences of
risky choices.
The person who buys insurance is protected against monetary damages.
Therefore, he may engage in more risky behavior than if he has to bear the risk
himself.
Moral hazard can arise in the insurance industry when insured parties
behave differently as a result of having insurance. There are two types of
moral hazard in insurance: ex ante and ex post. Ex-Ante Moral Hazard - Ed the
Aggressive Driver: Ed, a driver with no auto insurance, drives very cautiously
because he would be fully responsible for any damages to his vehicle. Ed
decides to get auto insurance and, once his policy goes into effect, he begins
speeding and making unsafe lane changes. Ed's case is an example of ex-ante
moral hazard. As an insured motorist, Ed has taken on more risk than he did
without insurance. Ed's choice reflects his new, reduced liability.
Ex-Post Moral Hazard - Marie and Her Allergies: Marie has had no health
insurance for a few years and develops allergy symptoms each spring. This
winter she starts a new job that offers insurance and decides to consult a
physician for her problems. Had Marie continued without insurance, she may
never have gone to a doctor. But, with insurance, she makes an appointment and
is given a prescription for her allergies. This is an example of ex-post moral
hazard, because Marie is now using insurance to cover costs she would not have
incurred prior to getting insurance.
Insurers try to decrease their exposure by shifting a portion of
liability to policyholders in the form of deductibles and co-payments. Both
represent the amount of money a policyholder must pay before the insurance
company's coverage begins. Policyholders can often opt for lower deductibles
and co-payments, but this will raise their insurance premiums.
2. PURPOSE AND NEED OF INSURANCE
The process of insurance has been evolved to safeguard the interests of
people from uncertainty by providing certainty of payment at a given
contingency. The insurance principle comes to be more and more used and useful
in modern affairs.
Not only does it serve the ends of individuals, or of special groups of
individuals, it tends to pervade and to transform our modern social order, too.
The role and importance of insurance, here, has been discussed in three phases:
(i) uses to individual, (ii) uses to a special group of individuals, viz., to
business or industry, and (iii) uses to the society.
USES TO AN INDIVIDUAL :
- 1. Insurance provides
Security and Safety:
The insurance provides safety and security against the loss on a particular
event. In case of life insurance payment is made when death occurs or the term
of insurance is expired. The loss to the family at a premature death and
payment in old age are adequately provided by insurance. In other words,
security against premature death and old age sufferings are provided by life
insurance.
Similarly, the property of insured is secured against loss on a fire in
fire insurance. In other insurance, too, this security is provided against the
loss at a given contingency.
The insurance provides safety and security against the loss of earning
at death or in golden age, against the loss at fire, against the loss at
damage, destruction or disappearance of property, goods, furniture and
machines, etc.
- 2. Insurance affords Peace
of Mind:
The security wish is the prime motivating factor. This is the wish which
tends to stimulate to more work, if this wish is unsatisfied, it will create a
tension which manifests itself to the individual in the form of an unpleasant
reaction causing reduction in work.
The security banishes fear and uncertainty, fire, windstorm, auto-mobile
accident, damage and death are almost beyond the control human agency and in
occurrence of any of these events may frustrate or weaken the human mind. By
means of insurance, however, much of the uncertainty that centers about the
wish for security and its attainment may be eliminated.
- 3. Insurance protects
Mortgaged Property:
At the death of the owner of the mortgaged property, the property is
taken over by the lender of money and the family will be deprived of the uses
of the property. On the other hand, the mortgagee wishes to get the property
insured because at the damage or destruction of the property he will lose his
right to get the loan replayed.
The insurance will provide adequate amount to the dependents at the
early death of the property-owner to pay off the unpaid loans. Similarly, the
mortgagee gets adequate amount at the destruction of the property.
- 4. Insurance eliminates
dependency:
At the death of the husband or father, the destruction of family needs
no elaboration. Similarly, at destruction of, property and goods, the family
would suffer a lot. It brings reduced standards of living and the suffering may
go to any extent of begging from the relatives, neighbors or friends.
The economic independence of the family is reduced or, sometimes, lost
totally. What can be more pitiable condition than this that the wife and
children are looking others more benevolent than the husband and father, in absence
of protection against such dependency? The insurance is here to assist them and
provides adequate amount at the time of sufferings.
- 5. Life Insurance encourages
saving:
The elements of protection and investment are present only in case of
life insurance. In property insurance, only protection element exists. In most
of the life policies elements of saving predominates. These policies combine
the programs of insurance and savings.
The saving with insurance has certain extra advantages
- Systematic saving am
possible because regular premiums are required to be compulsorily paid.
The saving with a bank is voluntary and one can easily omit a month or two
and then abandon the program entirely.
- In insurance the deposited
premium cannot be withdrawn easily before the expiry of the term of the
policy. As contrast to this, the saving which can be withdrawn at any
moment will finish within no time.
- The insurance will pay the
policy money irrespective of the premium deposited while in case of
bank-deposit; only the deposited amount along with the interest is paid.
The insurance, thus, provides the wished amount of insurance and the bank
provides only the deposited amount,
- The compulsion or force to
premium in insurance is so high that if the policy-holder fails to pay
premiums within the days of grace, he subjects his policy to causation and
may get back only a very nominal portion of the total premiums paid on the
policy.
For the preservation of the policy, he has to try his level best to pay
the premium. After a certain period, it would be a part of necessary
expenditure of the insured. In absence of such forceful compulsion elsewhere
life insurance is the best media of saving.
- 6. Life Insurance provides
profitable Investment:
Individuals unwilling or unable to handle their own funds have been
pleased to find an outlet for their investment in life insurance policies.
Endowment policies, multipurpose policies, deferred annuities are certain
better form of investment.
The elements of investment i.e., regular saving, capital formation, and
return of the capital along with certain additional return are perfectly
observed, in life insurance.
In India the insurance policies carry a special exemption from
income-tax, wealth tax, and gift tax and estate duty. An individual from his
own capacity cannot invest regularly with enough of security and profitability.
The life insurance fulfils all these requirements with a lower cost. The
beneficiary of the policy-holder can get a regular income from the
life-insurer; if the insured amount is left with him.
- 7. Life Insurance fulfils
the needs of a person:
The needs of a person are divided into (A) Family needs, (B) Old-age
needs, (C) Re-adjustment needs, (D) Special needs, (E) The clean-up needs.
(A) Family Needs:
Death is certain, but the time is uncertain. So, there is uncertainty of
the time when the sufferings and financial stringencies may be fall on the
family. Moreover, every person is responsible to provide for the family.
It would be a more pathetic sight in the world to see the wife and
children of a man looking for someone more considerate arid benevolent than the
husband or the father, who left them unprovoked.
Therefore, the provision for children up to their reaching earning
period and for widow up to long life should he made. Any other provision except
life insurance will not adequately meet this financial requirement of the
family. Whole life policies are the better means of meeting such requirements.
(B) Old-age heeds:
The provision for old-age is required where the person is surviving more
than his earning period. The reduction of income in old-age is serious to the
person and his family.
If no other family member starts earning, they will be left with nothing
and if there is no property, it would be more piteous state. The life insurance
provides old age funds along with the protection of the family by issuing
various policies.
(C) Re-adjustment Needs:
At the time of reduction in income whether by loss of unemployment,
disability, or death, adjustment in the standard of living of family is
required. The family members will have to be satisfied with meager income and
they have to settle down to lower income and social obligations.
Before coming down to the lower standard and to be satisfied with that,
they require certain adjustment income so that the primary obstacles may be
reduced to minimum. The life insurance helps to accumulate adequate funds.
Endowment policy anticipated endowment policy and guaranteed triple benefit
policies are seemed to be a good substitute for old age needs.
(D) Special Needs:
There is certain special requirement of the family which is fulfilled by
the earning member of the family. If the member becomes disable to earn the
income due to old age or death, those needs may remain unfulfilled and the
family will suffer.
- Need for Education. There
are certain insurance policies, and annuities which are useful for
education of the children irrespective of the death or survival of the
father or guardian.
- Marriage. The daughter may
remain unmarried in case of father's death or in case of inadequate
provision for meeting the expenses of marriage. The insurance can provide
funds for the marriage if policy is taken for the purpose.
- Insurance needs for
settlement of children. After education, settlement of children takes time
and in absence of adequate funds, the children cannot be well placed and
all the education go to waste.
(E) Clean-up funds:
After death, ritual ceremonies, payment of wealth taxes and income taxes
are certain requirements which decrease the amount of funds of the family
member. Insurance comes to help for meeting these requirements. Multipurpose
policy, education and marriage policies, capital redemption policies are the
better policies for the special needs.
USES TO BUSINESS :
The insurance has been useful to the business society also. Some of the
uses are discussed below:
1. Uncertainty of business losses is reduced:
In world of business, commerce and industry a huge number of properties
are employed. With a slight slackness or negligence, the property may be turned
into ashes. The accident may be fatal not only to the individual or property
but to the third party also. New construction and new establishment are
possible only with the help of insurance.
In absence of it, uncertainty will be to the maximum level and nobody
would like to invest a huge amount in the business or industry. A person may
not be sure of his life and health and cannot continue the business up to
longer period to support his dependents. By purchasing policy, he can be sure
of his earning because the insurer will pay a fed amount at the time of death.
Again, the owner of a business might foresee contingencies that would
bring great loss. To meet such situations they might decide to set aside
annually a reserve, but it could not be accumulated due to death. However, by
making an annual payment, to secure immediately, insure policy can be taken.
2. Business-efficiency is increased with insurance:
When the owner of a business is free from the botheration of losses, he
will certainly devote much time to the business. The care free owner can work
better for the maximisation of the profit. The new as well as old businessmen
are guaranteed payment of certain amount with the insurance policies at the
death of the person; at the damage, destruction or disappearance of the
property or goods.
The uncertainty of loss may affect the mind of the businessmen
adversely. The insurance, removing the uncertainty, stimulates the businessmen
to work hard.
3. Key Man Indemnification:
Key man is that particular man whose capital, expertise, experience,
energy, ability to control, goodwill and dutifulness make him the most valuable
asset in the business and whose absence will reduce the income of the employer
tremendously and up to that time when such employee is not substituted.
The death or disability of such valuable lives will, in many instances,
prove a more serious loss than that by fire or any hazard. The potential loss
to be suffered and the compensation to the dependents of such employee require
an adequate provision which is met by purchasing adequate life-policies.
The amount of loss may be up to the amount of reduced profit, expenses
involved in appointing and training, of such persons and payment to the
dependents of the key man. The Term Insurance Policy or Convertible Term
Insurance Policy is more suitable in this case.
4. Enhancement of Credit:
The business can obtain loan by pledging the policy as collateral for
the loan. The insured persons are getting more loans due to certainty of
payment at their deaths. The amount of loan that can be obtained with such
pledging of policy, with interest thereon will not exceed the cash value of the
policy. In case of death, this value can be utilised for setting of the loan
along with the interest.
If the borrower is unwilling to repay the loan and interest, the lender
can surrender the policy and get the amount of loan and interest thereon
repaid. The redeemable debentures can be issued on the collateral of capital
redemption policies. The' insurance properties are the best collateral and
adequate loans are granted by the lenders.
5. Business Continuation
In any business particularly partnership business may discontinue at the
death of any partner although the surviving partners can restart the business,
but in both the cases the business and the partners will suffer economically.
The insurance policies provide adequate funds at the time of death. Each
partner may be insured for the amount of his interest in the partnership and
his dependents may get that amount at the death of the partner.
With the help of property insurance, the property of the business is
protected against disasters and the chance of disclosure of the business due to
the tremendous waste or loss.
6. Welfare of Employees:
The welfare of employees is the responsibility of the employer. The
former are working for the latter. Therefore, the latter has to look after the
welfare of the former which can be provision for early death, provision for
disability and provision for old age.
These requirements are easily met by the life insurance, accident and
sickness benefit, and pensions which are generally provided by group insurance.
The premium for group insurance is generally paid by the employer. This plan is
the cheapest form of insurance for employers to fulfill their responsibilities.
The employees will devote their maximum capacities to complete their
jobs when they are assured of the above benefits. The struggle and strife
between employees and employer can be minimised easily with the help of such
schemes.
USES OF SOCIETY :
Some of the uses of insurance to society are discussed in the following
sections.
1. Wealth of the society is protected :
The loss of a particular wealth can be protected with the insurance.
Life insurance provides loss of human wealth. The human material, if it is
strong, educated and care-free, will generate more income.
Similarly, the loss of damage of property at fire, accident, etc., can
be well indemnified by the property insurance; cattle, crop, profit and
machines are also protected against their accidental and economic losses.
With the advancement of the society, the wealth or the property of the
society attracts more hazardous and, so new types of insurance are also
invented to protect them against the possible losses.
Each and every member will have financial security against old age,
death, damage, destruction and disappearance of his wealth including the life
wealth. Through prevention of economic losses, instance protects the society
against degradation.
Through stabilization and expansion of business and industry, the
economic security is maximised. The present, future and potential human and
property resources are well-protected. The children are getting expertise
education, working classes are free from botherations and older people are
guiding at ease. The happiness and prosperity are observed everywhere with the
help of insurance.
2. Economic Growth of the Country:
For the economic growth of the country, insurance provides strong hand
and mind, protection against loss of property and adequate capital to produce
more wealth. The agriculture will experience protection against losses of
cattle, machines, tools and crop.
This sort of protection stimulates more production hi agriculture, in
industry, the factory premises, machines, boilers and profit insurances provide
more confidence to start and operate the industry welfare of employees create a
conducive atmosphere to work: Adequate capital from insurers accelerate the
production cycle.
Similarly in business, too, the property and human material are
protected against certain losses; capital and credit are expanded with the help
of insurance. Thus, the insurance meets all the requirements of the economic
growth of a country.
3. Reduction in Inflation:
The insurance reduces the inflationary resource in two ways. First, by
extracting money in supply to the amount of premium collected and secondly, by
providing sufficient funds for production narrow down the inflationary gap.
With reference to Indian context it has been observed that about 5.0 per
cent of the money in supply was collected in form of premium.
The share of premium contributed to the total investment of the country
was about 10.0 per cent. The two main causes of inflation, namely, increased
money in supply and decreased production are properly controlled by insurance
business, Insurance Need and Selling.
3. CONCEPT OF RISK, PERIL AND HAZARD
WHAT IS RISK?
Risk is part of every human endeavor. From the moment we get up in the
morning, drive or take public transportation to get to school or to work until
we get back into our beds (and perhaps even afterwards), we are exposed to
risks of different degrees. What makes the study of risk fascinating is that
while some of this risk bearing may not be completely voluntary, we seek out
some risks on our own (speeding on the highways or gambling, for instance) and
enjoy them. While some of these risks may seem trivial, others make a
significant difference in the way we live our lives. On a loftier note, it can
be argued that every major advance in human civilization, from the caveman’s
invention of tools to gene therapy, has been made possible because someone was
willing to take a risk and challenge the status quo.
Risk is the potential of loss (an undesirable outcome, however not
necessarily so) resulting from a given action, activity and/or inaction. The
notion implies that a choice having an influence on the outcome sometimes
exists (or existed). Potential losses themselves may also be called
"risks". Any human endeavor carries some risk, but some are much
riskier than others.
Risk can be defined in seven different ways
1. The probability of something happening multiplied by the resulting
cost or benefit if it does.
2. The probability or threat of quantifiable damage, injury, liability,
loss, or any other negative occurrence that is caused by external or internal
vulnerabilities, and that may be avoided through preemptive action.
UNCERTAINTY
Uncertainty is at the very core of the concept of risk itself. It is
uncertainty about the outcome in a given situation. Uncertainty does not exist
in the natural order of things though there are a number of outcomes, which are
uncertain. For example: the weather for the test match; the possibility of
being made redundant; the risk of having an accident. There is surely
uncertainty surrounding all of these events.
In 1921, Frank Knight summarized the difference between risk and uncertainty
thus: "… Uncertainty must be taken in a sense radically distinct from the
familiar notion of Risk, from which it has never been properly separated. … The
essential fact is that "risk" means in some cases a quantity
susceptible of measurement, while at other times it is something distinctly not
of this character; and there are far-reaching and crucial differences in the
bearings of the phenomena depending on which of the two is really present and
operating.
It will appear that a measurable uncertainty, or "risk"
proper, as we shall use the term, is so far different from an un-measurable one
that it is not in effect an uncertainty at all."
Risk is incorporated into so many different disciplines from insurance
to engineering to portfolio theory that it should come as no surprise that it
is defined in different ways by each one. It is worth looking at some of the
distinctions:
(a) Risk versus Probability: While some definitions of risk focus only
on the probability of an event occurring, more comprehensive definitions
incorporate both the probability of the event occurring and the consequences of
the event. Thus, the probability of a severe earthquake may be very small but
the consequences are so catastrophic that it would be categorized as a
high-risk event.
(b) Risk versus Threat: In some disciplines, a contrast is drawn between
risk and a threat. A threat is a low probability event with very large negative
consequences, where analysts may be unable to assess the probability. A risk,
on the other hand, is defined to be a higher probability event, where there is
enough information to make assessments of both the probability and the
consequences.
(c) All outcomes versus Negative outcomes: Some definitions of risk tend
to focus only on the downside scenarios, whereas others are more expansive and
consider all variability as risk. The engineering definition of risk is defined
as the product of the probability of an event occurring, that is viewed as
undesirable, and an assessment of the expected harm from the event occurring.
Risk = Probability of an accident * Consequence in lost money/deaths
In contrast, risk in finance is defined in terms of variability of
actual returns on an investment around an expected return, even when those
returns represent positive outcomes. Building on the last distinction, we
should consider broader definitions of risk that capture both the positive and
negative outcomes
PERIL AND HAZARD
The terms "peril" and "hazard" should not be
confused with the concept of risk discussed earlier. Let us first consider the
meaning of peril.
Peril
We often use the word risk to mean both the event which will give rise
to some loss, and the factors which may influence the outcome of a loss. When
we think about cause, we must be clear that there are at least these two
aspects to it. We can see this if we think back to the two houses on the river
bank and the risk of flood. The risk of flood does not really make sense, what
we mean is the risk of flood damage. Flood is the cause of the loss and the
fact that one of the houses was right on the bank of the river influences the
outcome.
Flood is the peril and the proximity of the house to the river is the
hazard. The peril is the prime cause; it is what will give rise to the loss.
Often it is beyond the control of anyone who may be involved. In this way we
can say that storm, fire, theft, motor accident and explosion are all perils.
Peril is defined as the cause of loss. Thus, if a house burns because of
a fire, the peril, or cause of, loss, is the fire. If a car is totally
destroyed in an accident with another motorist, accident (collision) is the
peril, or cause of loss. Some common perils that result in the loss or
destruction of property include fire, cyclone, storm, landslide, lightning,
earthquakes, theft, and burglary.
Hazard
Factors, which may influence the outcome, are referred to as hazards.
These hazards are not themselves the cause of the loss, but they can increase
or decrease the effect should a peril operate. The consideration of hazard is
important when an insurance company is deciding whether or not it should insure
some risk and what premium to charge. So a hazard is a condition that creates
or increases the chance of loss. There are three major types of hazards: Hazard
can be physical or moral or Morale.
Physical hazard
Physical hazard relates to the physical characteristics of the risk,
such as the nature of construction of a building, security protection at a shop
or factory, or the proximity of houses to a riverbank. Therefore a physical
hazard is a physical condition that increases the chances of loss. Thus, if a
person owns an older building with defective wiring, the defective wiring is a
physical hazard that increases the chance of a fire.
Another example of physical hazard is a slippery road after the rains.
If a motorist loses control of his car on a slippery road and collides with
another motorist, the slippery road is a physical hazard while collision is the
peril, or cause of loss.
Moral hazard
Moral hazard concerns the human aspects which may influence the outcome.
Moral hazard is dishonesty or character defects in an individual that increase
the chance of loss. For example, a business firm may be overstocked with
inventories because of a severe business recession. If the inventory is
insured, the owner of the firm may deliberately burn the warehouse to collect
money from the insurer. In effect, the unsold inventory has been sold to the
insurer by the deliberate loss. A large number of fires are due to arson, which
is a clear example of moral hazard.
Moral hazard is present in all forms of insurance, and it is difficult
to control. Dishonest insured persons often rationalise their actions on the
grounds that "the insurer has plenty of money". This is incorrect
since the company can pay claims only by collecting premiums from other policy
owners.
Because of moral hazard, premiums are higher for all insured, including
the honest. Although an individual may believe that it is morally wrong to
steal from a neighbour, he or she often has little hesitation about stealing
from an insurer and other policy owners by either causing a loss or by
inflating the size of a claim after a loss occurs.
Morale hazard
This usually refers to the attitude of the insured person. Morale hazard
is defined as carelessness or indifference to a loss because of the existence
of insurance. The very presence of insurance causes some insurers to be
careless about protecting their property, and the chance of loss is thereby
increased. For example, many motorists know their cars are insured and,
consequently, they are not too concerned about the possibility of loss through
theft. Their lack of concern will often lead them to leave their cars unlocked.
The chance of a loss by theft is thereby increased because of the
existence of insurance.
Morale hazard should not be confused with moral hazard. Morale hazard
refers to an Insured who is simply careless about protecting his property
because the property is insured against loss.
Moral hazard is more serious since it involves unethical or immoral
behaviour by insurers who seek their own financial gain at the expense of
insurers and other policy owners. Insurers attempt to control both moral and
morale hazards by careful underwriting and by various policy provisions, such
as compulsory excess, waiting periods, exclusions, and exceptions.
When used in conjunction with peril and hazard we find that risk means
the likelihood that the hazard will indeed cause the peril to operate and cause
the loss. For example, if the hazard is old electrical wiring prone to shorting
and causing sparks, and the peril is fire, then the risk, is the likelihood
that the wiring will indeed be a cause of fire.
BASIC CATEGORIES OF RISK
With regards insurability, there are basically two categories of risks;
1. Speculative or dynamic risk; and
2. Pure or static risk
Speculative or Dynamic Risk
Speculative (dynamic) risk is a situation in which either profit OR loss
is possible. Examples of speculative risks are betting on a horse race,
investing in stocks/bonds and real estate. In the business level, in the daily
Understanding and Managing Risk conduct of its affairs, every business
establishment faces decisions that entail an element of risk. The decision to
venture into a new market, purchase new equipments, diversify on the existing
product line, expand or contract areas of operations, commit more to
advertising, borrow additional capital, etc., carry risks inherent to the
business. The outcome of such speculative risk is either beneficial
(profitable) or loss.
Speculative risk is uninsurable.
Pure or Static Risk
The second category of risk is known as pure or static risk. Pure
(static) risk is a situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss
or no loss, as oppose to loss or profit with speculative risk. The only outcome
of pure risks are adverse (in a loss) or neutral (with no loss), never
beneficial. Examples of pure risks include premature death, occupational
disability, catastrophic medical expenses, and damage to property due to fire,
lightning, or flood.
It is important to distinguish between pure and speculative risks for
three reasons. First, through the use of commercial, personal, and liability
insurance policies, insurance companies in the private sector generally insure
only pure risks. Speculative risks are not considered insurable, with some
exceptions.
Second, the law of large numbers can be applied more easily to pure
risks than to speculative risks. The law of large numbers is important in insurance
because it enables insurers to predict loss figures in advance. It is generally
more difficult to apply the law of large numbers to speculative risks in order
to predict future losses. One of the exceptions is the speculative risk of
gambling, where casinos can apply the law of large numbers in a very efficient
manner.
Finally, society as a whole may benefit from a speculative risk even
though a loss occurs, but it is harmed if a pure risk is present and a loss
occurs. For instance, a computer manufacturer's competitor develops a new
technology to produce faster computer processors more cheaply. As a result, it
forces the computer manufacturer into bankruptcy. Despite the bankruptcy,
society as a whole benefits since the competitor's computers work faster and
are sold at a lower price. On the other hand, society would not benefit when
most pure risks, such as an earthquake, occur.
OTHER RISKS
Besides insurability, there are other classifications of Risks. Few of
them are discussed below:
Fundamental Risks and Particular Risks
Fundamental risks affect the entire economy or large numbers of people
or groups within the economy. Examples of fundamental risks are high inflation,
unemployment, war, and natural disasters such as earthquakes, hurricanes,
tornadoes, and floods.
Particular risks are risks that affect only individuals and not the
entire community. Examples of particular risks are burglary, theft, auto
accident, dwelling fires. With particular risks, only individuals experience
losses, and the rest of the community are left unaffected.
The distinction between a fundamental and a particular risk is
important, since government assistance may be necessary in order to insure
fundamental risk. Social insurance, government insurance programs, and
government guarantees and subsidies are used to meet certain fundamental risks
in our country. For example, the risk of unemployment is generally not
insurable by private insurance companies but can be insured publicly by federal
or state agencies. In addition, flood insurance is only available through
and/or subsidized by the federal government.
Subjective Risk
Subjective risk is defined as uncertainty based on a person's mental
condition or state of mind. For example, assume that an individual is drinking
heavily in a bar and attempts to drive home after the bar closes. The driver
may be uncertain whether he or she will arrive home safely without being
arrested by the police for drunken driving. This mental uncertainty is called
subjective risk.
Objective Risk
Objective risk is defined as the relative variation of actual loss from
expected loss. For example, assume that a fire insurer has 5000 houses insured
over a long period and, on an average, 1 percent, or 50 houses are destroyed by
fire each year. However, it would be rare for exactly 50 houses to burn each
year and in some years, as few as 45 houses may burn. Thus, there is a
variation of 5 houses from the expected number of 50, or a variation of 10
percent. This relative variation of actual loss from expected loss is known as
objective risk.
Objective risk declines as the number of exposures increases. More
specifically, objective risk varies inversely with the square root of the
number of cases under observation. Now assume that 5 lacs instead 5000 houses
are insured. The expected number of houses that will burn is now 5000, but the
variation of actual loss from expected loss is only 50. Objective risk is now
50/5000, or 1 percent.
Objective risk can be statistically measured by some measure of
dispersion, such as the standard deviation or coefficient of variation. Since
objective risk can be measured, it is an extremely useful concept for an
insurance company or a corporate risk manager.
As the number of exposures increases, the insurance company can predict
its future loss experience more accurately because it can rely on the “Law of
large numbers.” The law of large numbers states that as the number of exposure
units increase, the more closely will the actual loss experience approach the probable
loss experience. For example, as the number of homes under observation
increases, the greater is the degree of accuracy in predicting the proportion
of homes that will burn.
Static Risks
Static risks are risks connected with losses caused by the irregular
action of nature or by the mistakes and misdeeds of human beings. Static risks
are the same as pure risks and would, by definition, be present in an
unchanging economy.
Dynamic Risk
Dynamic risks are risks associated with a changing economy. Important
examples of dynamic risks include the changing tastes of consumers,
technological change, new methods of production, and investments in capital
goods that are used to produce new and untried products.
Static and dynamic risks have several important differences –
(a) Most static risks are pure risks, but dynamic risks are always
speculative risks where both profit and loss are possible.
(b) Static risks would still be present in an unchanging economy, but
dynamic risks are always associated with a changing economy.
(c) Dynamic risks usually affect more individuals and have a wider
impact on society than do static risks.
(d) Dynamic risks may be beneficial to society but static risks are
always harmful.
Financial and Non-financial Risks
A financial risk is one where the outcome can be measured in monetary
terms.
This is easy to see in the case of material damage to property, theft of
property or lost business profit following a fire. In cases of personal injury,
it can also be possible to measure financial loss in terms of a court award of
damages, or as a result of negotiations between lawyers and insurers. In any of
these cases, the outcome of the risky situation can be measured financially.
There are other situations where this kind of measurement is not possible.
Take the case of the choice of a new car, or the selection of an item from a
restaurant menu. These could be construed as risky situations, not because the
outcome will cause financial loss, but because the outcome could be
uncomfortable or disliked in some other way. We could even go as far as to say
that the great social decisions of life are examples of non-financial risks:
the selection of a career, the choice of a marriage partner, having children.
There may or may not be financial implications, but in the main the
outcome is not measurable financially but by other, more human, criteria.
Insurance is primarily concerned with risks that have a financially
measurable outcome. But not all risks are capable of measurement in financial
terms. One example of a risk that is difficult to measure financially is the
effect of bad publicity on a company - consequently this risk is very difficult
to insure.
However, this is a good point to stress how innovative some insurers are
in that they are always looking for ways to provide new covers, which the
customers want. The difficult part is to be innovative and still make a profit.
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